You’d think the Memphis Grizzlies would be the NBA’s version of a doormat with the combination of injuries and players leaving via trades, but these Grizz have a little fight in them.
Tonight, they’ll face another depleted roster in the Golden State Warriors, who are somehow 9.5-point favorites.
My Grizzlies vs. Warriors predictions and NBA picks explain why that’s too many points for this Western Conference clash set to tip-off at 10:00 p.m. ET at the Chase Center on Monday, February 9.
Grizzlies vs Warriors prediction
Grizzlies vs Warriors best bet: Grizzlies +9.5 (-115)
No Steph, no Jimmy Buckets, and no Kristaps Porzingis means the Golden State Warriors have been struggling.
The no-Steph Curry thing has been the biggest problem, as the Warriors have averaged just 94.3 points in the four recent games their franchise player has missed.
The Memphis Grizzlies also have a roster that’s hard for even the biggest fan to recognize, but they’re putting up some good fights. The Grizz have averaged 122 points per game over their last five and are 3-1 ATS in their last four.
This is too many points to cover for a team that can’t score.
Grizzlies vs Warriors same-game parlay
The Grizz have been surprisingly efficient recently, ranking sixth in offensive rating over the last five games.
The return of Ty Jerome has helped. After missing the entire season, he’s averaged 20 points in his first four games back, topping this 13.5 line three times.
Sophomore Jaylen Wells has also seen an uptick in production with added opportunities lately. Wells has topped 12.5 points in four straight games.
Grizzlies vs Warriors SGP
- Grizzlies +9.5
- Ty Jerome Over 13.5 points
- Jaylen Wells Over 13.5 points
Our “from downtown” SGP: The Replacements
This is how the Grizzlies have played in recent weeks. Team basketball, with everyone doing their part. Even if you don’t know everyone’s name.
Grizzlies vs Warriors SGP
- Ty Jerome Over 13.5 points
- Jaylen Wells Over 13.5 points
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Over 11.5 points
- Cam Spencer Over 11.5 points
Grizzlies vs Warriors odds
- Spread: Grizzlies +9.5 | Warriors -9.5
- Moneyline: Grizzlies +320 | Warriors -400
- Over/Under: Over 220.5 | Under 220.5
Grizzlies vs Warriors betting trend to know
The Warriors have covered the first-half spread in only 12 of their last 35 home games, resulting in -14.30 units and a -36% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Grizzlies vs. Warriors.
How to watch Grizzlies vs Warriors
| Location | Chase Center, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Monday, February 9, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FDSN Southeast-Memphis, NBC Sports Bay Area |
Grizzlies vs Warriors latest injuries
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This article originally appeared on Covers.com, read the full article here