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The Orlando Magic are on the brink of advancing and they’ll look to get it done at home as our NBA player prop projections are all locked & loaded for Game 6 against the Detroit Pistons, with the model highlighting several high-value spots.
By analyzing the data against current market lines, we’ve identified where the strongest edges exist.
These Pistons vs. Magic predictions are driven by numbers instead of guesswork.
If you’re building your card, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Friday, May 1.
Pistons vs Magic computer picks for Game 6
 Pistons |
 Magic |
|---|---|
| Duren o13.5 points -120 |
Banchero o23.5 points -108 |
| Cunningham o8.5 assists -125 |
Suggs o4.5 assists -107 |
| Robinson u2.5 3-pointers -150 |
Carter Jr. u8.5 rebounds -130 |
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Pistons Game 6 computer picks
Jalen Duren Over 13.5 points (-120)
Projection: 16.68 points
The Detroit Pistons should see more opportunities against the Orlando Magic, which has played at the fifth-fastest pace over the last 15 games.
If Jalen Duren doesn’t capitalize on the glass, he’ll need to make up for it with increased offensive production to help Detroit avoid elimination.
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Cade Cunningham Over 8.5 assists (-125)
Projection: 9.2 assists
For the Pistons to stay alive in this series, they’ll need Cade Cunningham to do it all — score efficiently and create for others.
He’s cleared this assists line in two games already, and he’ll likely need to elevate his playmaking even further to get there again.
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Duncan Robinson Under 2.5 3-pointers (-150)
Projection: 2.35 3-pointers
The matchup against Orlando is a tough spot for three-point volume. At home, the Magic allow the 7th-fewest attempts per game to opposing starting shooting guards (5.2), and Duncan Robinson has been inconsistent from deep on the road in this series.
In Orlando, he shot 42.9% from three in Game 3 before dropping to 16.1% in Game 4. Even after a stronger showing in Game 5, the trend points toward another potential downturn from beyond the arc.
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Magic Game 6 computer picks
Paolo Banchero Over 23.5 points (-108)
Projection: 24.3 points
The Magic should see more scoring chances against a Pistons team that’s played at the 10th-fastest pace over its last five games, and in a high-stakes Game 6, Paolo Banchero’s free-throw shooting could be a key factor to take this points prop to the Over.
Opposing starting power forwards have averaged 5.0 free throw attempts per game against Detroit over the last 10 games (6th-most in the NBA), showing they’re drawing fouls consistently. The opportunity is there for Banchero — he’ll just need to convert at the line to steady his production after a shaky stretch in this series.
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Jalen Suggs Over 4.5 assists (-107)
Projection: 5.47 assists
Jalen Suggs will need to elevate his playmaking to help Orlando close out the series tonight. He’s hovered near this assists line throughout most of the matchup, clearing it only in Game 5.
With everything on the line, expect Suggs to do whatever it takes to help the Magic punch their ticket to the next round.
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Wendell Carter Jr. Under 8.5 rebounds (-130)
Projection: 8.0 rebounds
When Wendell Carter Jr. has controlled the glass, the Magic have usually come out on top.
He narrowly missed this rebounds line in Game 1, but if he’s near it again, Orlando will likely benefit from his ability to create extra possessions on the boards.
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How to watch Pistons vs Magic Game 6
| Location | Kia Center, Orlando, FL |
| Date | Friday, May 1, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
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